Once a year, just before the start of the new year, the Ferrari Consulting and Research Group and the Supply Chain Matters Blog provide a series of predictions for the coming year. We have maintained this tradition since the founding of the blog in 2008 and it is quite popular with our readers judging from the number of subsequent downloads.  Supply Chain Matters Blog

Over the next two weeks, the blog will feature a series of postings to provide detail around each of our predictions.

These predictions are provided in the spirit of advising supply chain organizations in setting management agenda for the year ahead, helping our readers and clients to prepare their supply chain management teams in establishing programs, initiatives and educational agendas for the new year.

Our process includes a re-look at all that occurred in 2012, a reflection of future implications and the soliciting of input from clients, thought leaders and other supply chain and blogosphere observers. We incorporate a lot of thought into our predictions and actually scorecard our annual predictions at the end of the year. Throughout 2013, Supply Chain Matters will provide periodic commentaries reflecting on ongoing developments for our predictions.

We will kick-off this series with the full listing of our ten predictions for the upcoming year.  In upcoming postings, we will provide the detailed thoughts supporting each prediction. As in the past, the complete 2012 predictions research report will also be made available for free download in our Research Center at the conclusion of this blog series.

Again, this year’s effort was a bit challenging since the global business climate is in a period of high uncertainty and corresponding supply chains are in a fragile state. We certainly could have come up with more than ten, and readers are encouraged to share their own predictions throughout this series and into 2013.

Here is the full listing of Supply Chain Matters Predictions for Global Supply Chains in 2013:

Prediction #1:

Yes, yet another year of global challenges to support revenue and profit growth

Prediction #2:

Stabilized and potentially reduced inbound commodity prices, but certain exceptions in 2013

Prediction #3:

The renaissance of U.S. based manufacturing will continue in 2013, but further momentum is dependent on addressing key challenges in legislative and industry barriers and the new transformation of manufacturing.

Prediction #4:

For manufacturers and retailers, supply chain talent retention, management and development will remain a significant problem across global supply chains, with special emphasis in China and Asia.

Prediction #5:

Two industry supply chains, B2C and the Aerospace Industry, will undergo more significant challenges or increased turmoil in 2013.

Prediction #6:

Supply chain organizations must either embrace and augment resiliency and responsiveness capabilities in 2013, or deal with the consequences of poor business outcomes.

Prediction #7:

Chinese based manufacturing and service firms will markedly increase their presence and influence in global supply chains during 2013.

Prediction #8:

The executive level voice and shared accountability of the supply chain organization will invariably extend itself into three broader areas in 2013.

Prediction #9:

Similar to what transpired in 2012, higher and more expensive incidents of counterfeit products, theft, and other unscrupulous ‘grey” market activities within and across industry supply chains will finally motivate industry to step-up mitigation efforts.

Prediction #10:

Cloud computing and managed services options, enabling supply chain business processes, will continue to gain more traction, provided that vendors resolve current lingering  customer concerns.


As December starts to wind down and global supply chains scramble to complete end-of-year fulfillment requirements, Supply Chain Matters will dive into each of these ten predictions in a five part series of subsequent postings, starting with Part One that immediately follows.

Bob Ferrari

© 2012 The Ferrari Consulting and Research Group LLC and the Supply Chain Matters Blog.  All rights reserved.